Technological change, population dynamics, and natural resource depletion
نویسنده
چکیده
How does technological change affect the depletion of non-renewable natural resources? We argue that to answer this question it is necessary to account for the interaction between skill-biased technological change, population dynamics and their effects on natural resource use. Skill-biased technolgical change leads in a non-malthusian world to a decline in the long-run growth rate of the population. Furthermore, skill-biased technological change is associated with a lower long-run depletion rate of natural resources, whereas the transition to a long-run equilibrium is characterized by an inverse relationship between the growth rate of the population and the depletion rate of natural resources. In the context of a shrinking or stationary population, the emergence of sustained economic growth depends on the existence of positive intertemporal knowledge spillovers with respect to research and development.
منابع مشابه
Technological Change, Depletion and the U.S. Petroleum Industry***
Technological Change, Depletion and the U.S. Petroleum Industry*** A common claim in the nonrenewable resource literature is that improvements in technology may largely offset the effects of increasing scarcity over time. This study provides perhaps the first empirical evidence on this issue by analyzing the determinants of the average finding cost for additional petroleum in the U.S. over the ...
متن کاملProposing Dynamic Model of Functional Interactions of IoT Technological Innovation System by Using System Dynamics and Fuzzy DEMATEL
One of the emerging technologies, which is expected to have tremendous effects on community development, is the Internet of Things technology. Given the prospects for this technology and the countrychr('39')s efforts to its development, policymaking for this technology is very crucial. The technological innovation system is one of the most important dynamic approaches in the field of modern tec...
متن کاملSavings rules and sustainability: selected extensions
The concept of ‘genuine’ saving, the net saving rate in a national accounting framework encompassing resource depletion and environmental degradation, is extended to include technological change, resource imports, and critical natural capital in the form of rainforests. In all cases, measuring negative rates of genuine saving on the optimal path implies non-sustainability of the path. Questions...
متن کاملThrough Scarcity to Prosperity: A Theory of the Transition to Sustainable Growth
This paper integrates fertility choice and exhaustible resource dynamics in a tractable model of endogenous technological change. The analysis shows that, under the right conditions, the interdependence of population, resources and technology produces a transition from unsustainable resource-based growth to sustainable knowledge-based growth that consists of three phases: (1) an initial phase w...
متن کاملDRAFT Technological Change and Depletion in Offshore Oil and Gas
A critical concern for continued growth of the world economy is whether technological progress can mitigate resource depletion. This paper measures depletion effects and technological change for offshore oil production in the Gulf of Mexico using a unique field-level data set from 1947-1998. The study supports the hypothesis that technological progress has mitigated depletion effects over the s...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Mathematical Social Sciences
دوره 71 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2014